781 460-9238     Email Us   |   Trade-PMR - eMoney

Blog


How to Time the Market

Posted by Date Posted: September 23, 2019 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   Why We Don’t Time the Market Consider a game of roulette.  In America, with zero and double-zero on the wheel, the odds of the ball landing on red is 47.4%.  Likewise for black.  With a 1-to-1 payout, it’s easy to see why the casino wins in the long-run and why…

Read More »

Anatomy of a Bear Market

Posted by Date Posted: February 22, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   We all know what a bear market looks like after the fact.  Along with the loss of wealth, there’s pain, confusion, despair, self-doubt and a commitment to take risk more seriously next time.  While Hindsight Capital LLC has amazing returns only a clairvoyant could achieve, there are clues present which…

Read More »

Where Are We Now?

Posted by Date Posted: February 10, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   The recent market fall has touched, and then retraced, the 10% bear-market threshold since it’s high of January 26.  After such a fall, the bigs of Wall Street and pundits alike will tell you now is the time to buy.  After all, you’re getting a 10% discount.  Is that true? …

Read More »

Market Review for 2/6/2018

Posted by Date Posted: February 06, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

What Happened? The market was chaotic this morning as investors tried to digest what happened over the previous few days.  As time went on, and anecdotal evidence suggested volatility and algo traders pushed the market fall into overdrive, markets slowly became more orderly.  Uncertainty remained until about 2PM when a more confident bounce began, lasting…

Read More »

Market Review For 2/5/2018

Posted by Date Posted: February 05, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

What Happened? The 2-day market drop of last week continued today and even accelerated.  While I’m disappointed I didn’t see these three days coming, I have defensively positioned Eunoia accounts so that all have done quite well (relatively speaking).  Rather than following the market down 4%, Eunoia accounts posted a much smaller -1.5% on average….

Read More »

To See or Not to See, That is the Question

Posted by Date Posted: January 19, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   Investing is all about seeing the future.  Fortunes can be made with perfect clairvoyance, but as we know, such clairvoyance can be difficult, if not impossible, to come by.  Sometimes, however, seeing the future can be as simple (if there’s such a thing as simplicity in the stock market) as…

Read More »

How to Create a Portfolio Just for You

Posted by Date Posted: November 17, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA I imagine creating a portfolio for a non-professional to be much like a defense preparing to meet Tom Brady.  It’s not a level playing field.  He has too many weapons at his disposal.  He has offensive linemen willing to sacrifice their body for his.  He has running backs willing to plow…

Read More »

Risk versus Reward Explained

Posted by Date Posted: October 24, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   Financial academia and market practitioners spend an inordinate amount of time talking about risk versus reward. To be fair, I have added my own two cents on the subject as well. However, portfolio risk versus reward is seldom described beyond a distribution of returns. This article hopes to change that….

Read More »

Impact of Tax Policy on the S&P 500

Posted by Date Posted: October 05, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   As details of President Trump’s tax policy proposal have become known, I thought it the right time to consider the impact his proposal may have on the economy writ large as well as for the S&P 500 specifically.  In particular, I consider the benefits lower taxes will have on economic…

Read More »

How is Trump Faring?

Posted by Date Posted: August 22, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Polls and punditry can only get you so far.  In this post, I examine whether the news has been favorable or unfavorable to Trump and what the result implies for his remaining agenda and the market.   How is Trump Faring

Read More »