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July 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: August 01, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

What doesn’t belong and why?  Financial data can be overwhelming not only in complexity but in quantity as well.  One way to combat overstimulating the senses with nonsensical information is to look at related charts next to each other and play this simple child’s game.  When looked at from this perspective, it starts to become…

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June 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: July 02, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

David’s defeat of Goliath has been the rally-cry of the underdog for centuries.  However, is that really the moral of the story?  Was David really the underdog?  In this month’s commentary, I re-examine the story (with the help of some actual Biblical scholars) to determine what I think should be the real moral… and then…

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May 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: June 01, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

How do we make decisions?  How do we interpret information?  How do we know the best course of action to take given our circumstances, view of the world and expectations for the future?  In this month’s post, I expose my odd sense of humor by revealing the one thing most people find dry, dull and…

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April 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: May 02, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

April was not much different than February or March – a general sense of unease in the midst of high valuations, good but not great earnings growth, rising inflation, global tensions and administrative uncertainty.  In order to justify current valuations, the market must either suffer negative returns or increase earnings growth (or some combination of…

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March 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: April 02, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

As much as we’d like the world to follow our rules, there are certain truths that cannot be ignored. For investors, at the moment, these are the current truths: The economy is strong. The market is overvalued. Inflation is coming. Higher interest rates are coming. The Trump administration will continue to roil the markets. Therefore,…

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February 2018 Returns and Market Commentary

Posted by Date Posted: March 01, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Investors, a large portion of which have never seen a bear market, are being tested.  They were shaken January 26th when the market fell precipitously, and they continue to be tested today.  In the aftermath of the fall, short-volatility products took the blame and investors managed to regain their footing in an attempt to return…

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Anatomy of a Bear Market

Posted by Date Posted: February 22, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   We all know what a bear market looks like after the fact.  Along with the loss of wealth, there’s pain, confusion, despair, self-doubt and a commitment to take risk more seriously next time.  While Hindsight Capital LLC has amazing returns only a clairvoyant could achieve, there are clues present which…

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Where Are We Now?

Posted by Date Posted: February 10, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

Richard Suvak, MSF, CFA   The recent market fall has touched, and then retraced, the 10% bear-market threshold since it’s high of January 26.  After such a fall, the bigs of Wall Street and pundits alike will tell you now is the time to buy.  After all, you’re getting a 10% discount.  Is that true? …

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Market Review for 2/6/2018

Posted by Date Posted: February 06, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

What Happened? The market was chaotic this morning as investors tried to digest what happened over the previous few days.  As time went on, and anecdotal evidence suggested volatility and algo traders pushed the market fall into overdrive, markets slowly became more orderly.  Uncertainty remained until about 2PM when a more confident bounce began, lasting…

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Market Review For 2/5/2018

Posted by Date Posted: February 05, 2018 Posted in Uncategorized

What Happened? The 2-day market drop of last week continued today and even accelerated.  While I’m disappointed I didn’t see these three days coming, I have defensively positioned Eunoia accounts so that all have done quite well (relatively speaking).  Rather than following the market down 4%, Eunoia accounts posted a much smaller -1.5% on average….

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