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Colin Suvak – Trajectory of Federal Reserve Policy

Posted by Date Posted: July 27, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

“Don’t fight the Fed” is a long-held investment mantra.  To follow this mantra however, one must know what the Fed will do.  While there are an untold number of predictions from an untold number of market prognosticators, Colin Suvak delves deeply into the factors the Fed considers when making policy decisions.  Namely, labor, output and…

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Some Thoughts On Holding Cash

Posted by Date Posted: July 17, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

I prefer to do my own research and my own writing.  There are too many, I feel, which blindly follow the nonsensical rantings of market prognosticators.  However, when I find articles which explain concepts or present research better than I do, I try to pass them along.  The link below is just such a case….

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Colin Suvak – Portfolio Construction

Posted by Date Posted: July 11, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Considering 8 additional economic factors (adding to the prior 3 already reported), Colin Suvak connects the dots between top-down economic data and portfolio construction.  This paper takes the next step to discuss how investors might incorporate economic information, along with market valuation, when building an optimal portfolio.   CT Suvak – Portfolio Construction  

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The Value of Creative Thinking

Posted by Date Posted: June 26, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Rather than yet another boring investment discussion, I thought I’d ponder on the value, and the risks, of creative thinking and innovation.  The question is; be like everyone else and achieve average results, or be different and risk everything to change the world?   The Value of Creative Thinking

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Colin Suvak – Understanding Inflation and its Impact on the Optimal Portfolio

Posted by Date Posted: June 19, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Inflation, and the Fed’s efforts to control it (or at least not let it get out of control) are key ingredients in determining the future direction of the market.  In his latest post, Colin Suvak examines exactly how, and how much, inflation should influence the portfolio allocation decision.   CT Suvak – Understanding Inflation and…

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Colin Suvak – Relevance of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index in Optimal Portfolio Composition

Posted by Date Posted: June 12, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

Collectively, how we feel about our own personal financial situation has as much to do with the growth (or not) of the broader economy as anything else.  The University of Michigan attempts to quantify our views through a survey which culminates in the Consumer Sentiment Index.  Continuing his research into economic factors and their influence…

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Larry Summers

Posted by Date Posted: May 30, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

While I usually like to do my own writing, having met Larry years ago, I find his commentary and analysis to be credible enough to pass on as is.   Larry Summers – Trump budget 3% growth forecast ‘a joke’

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What and Why

Posted by Date Posted: May 18, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

The two most important questions in investing.  After yesterday’s 1.8% drop of the S&P 500, I thought a brief explanation of the what happened and why it happened to be worthwhile.   What Happened and Why

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Everything Is Relative

Posted by Date Posted: May 09, 2017 Posted in Uncategorized

We all know the saying, there are few absolutes in life…  The same is true with investing.  Most analysis has do be given context in order to give it meaning.  In this edition of EVR (Eunoia Valuation Rants), we consider the US stock market relative to its competitors.   Everything Is Relative

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